Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.156381 0.181259 0.208824 0.241635 0.279636 0.322279 0.373788
2025-06-29 0.114758 0.147300 0.187165 0.239618 0.306884 0.390347 0.501950
2025-07-06 0.093845 0.129224 0.175670 0.241160 0.331261 0.451099 0.623027
2025-07-13 0.083000 0.121038 0.173875 0.252711 0.367597 0.529334 0.775149
2025-07-20 0.074005 0.113411 0.170889 0.260957 0.398921 0.602952 0.928972
2025-07-27 0.066759 0.106948 0.168185 0.268444 0.429027 0.677222 1.092019
2025-08-03 0.059731 0.099636 0.162911 0.270732 0.450606 0.740039 1.244007
2025-08-10 0.052860 0.091530 0.155142 0.267621 0.462466 0.787885 1.376443
2025-08-17 0.046140 0.082725 0.145007 0.259000 0.463534 0.817225 1.480027
2025-08-24 0.042840 0.079384 0.143651 0.265190 0.490657 0.893625 1.674647
2025-08-31 0.039210 0.074961 0.139795 0.266267 0.508410 0.954926 1.848440
2025-09-07 0.036425 0.071740 0.137689 0.270192 0.531648 1.028373 2.053158
2025-09-14 0.032616 0.066166 0.130667 0.264125 0.535470 1.066502 2.195827
2025-09-21 0.029672 0.061952 0.125797 0.261740 0.546335 1.119654 2.375598
2025-09-28 0.027500 0.059033 0.123129 0.263428 0.565533 1.191352 2.602082
2025-10-05 0.026602 0.058663 0.125585 0.276052 0.609045 1.317811 2.960579
2025-10-12 0.025429 0.057553 0.126343 0.285065 0.645731 1.433763 3.309985
2025-10-19 0.024275 0.056339 0.126723 0.293248 0.681455 1.551456 3.677507
2025-10-26 0.022774 0.054158 0.124715 0.295749 0.704463 1.643185 3.995756
2025-11-02 0.020991 0.051105 0.120395 0.292348 0.713230 1.703152 4.245415
2025-11-09 0.018984 0.047283 0.113872 0.282926 0.706437 1.725757 4.406284
2025-11-16 0.018180 0.046309 0.113982 0.289691 0.740099 1.849121 4.834681
2025-11-23 0.017105 0.044532 0.111952 0.290868 0.759838 1.940400 5.191783